Institutional Capital Allocation and Bitcoin’s Position: Data Verification & Analysis

Overview

Recent claims suggest that institutional capital is overwhelmingly allocated to equities and credit, with Bitcoin largely sidelined as a commodity. An infographic circulating in 2025 asserted that ~97% of institutional assets are in equity and fixed-income mandates, leaving only ~3% in commodities (including gold/Bitcoin). It cited approximate market sizes of $35 trillion in equities, $60 trillion in credit, and only $3 trillion in commodities. These figures imply ~30× more capital is available to Bitcoin if packaged as equity or credit (e.g. ETFs or notes) rather than in commodity form. Below, we verify each of these claims with up-to-date data (2023–2025) and analyze their implications for Bitcoin’s institutional adoption.

Institutional Asset Allocation: Equities, Credit, and Commodities (≈97% vs 3%)

Multiple data sources confirm that the vast majority of institutional AUM (Assets Under Management) resides in equities and fixed income, with only a sliver in commodities. For example, global sovereign wealth funds in 2024 allocated about 32% to public equity and 28% to fixed income, but just 0.8% to commodities on average. Similarly, the global market portfolio (all investable assets) as of mid-2024 was weighted ~44.8% equities and ~30% high-quality bonds, whereas gold (the primary commodity store-of-value) constituted only ~3–4%. In other words, over 95% of investable capital is tied up in stocks and bonds, while commodities (energy, metals, etc., often lumped as “alternatives”) remain a tiny allocation.

This pattern holds across institutional segments: for instance, U.S. insurance companies (with nearly $9 trillion invested) keep about 60% in bonds and 13% in equities, but effectively 0% in commodities. Pension funds also traditionally invest heavily in equities and fixed income, with only a marginal allocation to commodity assets (if any). The OECD reported global pension assets at ~$60 trillion in 2021, and over decades pensions have shifted away from bonds toward equities and alternatives – yet even those “alternatives” are mostly real estate, private equity, etc., not commodities. In sum, it is accurate that ~97% of institutional capital is in equity or credit instruments, versus only ~3% in commodities. This ratio is supported by aggregated estimates for 2023–2025: roughly $95 trillion in equity+credit mandates vs. ~$3 trillion in commodity mandates .

Table 1 – Estimated Institutional Capital by Asset Class (2023–2025)

Asset ClassInstitutional Mandate AUM (Approx.)Share of Total AUM
Public Equities (Stocks)~$35 trillion~36% (≈1/3)
Public Credit (Bonds/Loans)~$60 trillion~61% (≈2/3)
Commodities (mainly Gold)~$3 trillion~3%
Total (Equity+Credit+Comm.)~$98 trillion100%

Sources: Aggregated from MSCI, PensionsAge, Invesco, NAIC, Global SWF, Funds Europe (2023–2025). Commodity figure includes central bank gold ($2.3 trillion) and private gold investments ($0.7 trillion).

As Table 1 shows, equities and fixed-income dominate institutional portfolios (~97% combined), which corroborates the claim. The $35 trillion equity and $60 trillion credit values are in line with global institutional holdings, given that global stock market capitalization is ~$78 trillion as of 2024 and global bond market (investment-grade and government) is ~$64 trillion for core bonds alone. Institutions (pensions, insurers, sovereign funds, endowments) hold roughly half of global equities and a large share of bonds, making the ~$35T and ~$60T figures plausible. The $3 trillion in commodities chiefly reflects gold: central banks globally held ~36,000 tons of gold (worth on the order of $2–4 trillion, depending on price) , and private investors (funds, ETFs, etc.) hold additional hundreds of billions in gold. Other commodities (energy, metals, agricultural) attract minimal long-term institutional allocation. Thus, 3% ($3T of ~$98T) for commodities is a reasonable estimate, confirming that about 97% of institutional capital is “mandated” to equity and credit markets.

Verifying Market Size Estimates ($35T Equity, $60T Credit, $3T Commodity)

The stated market sizes in the image can be cross-verified against financial industry research:

Conclusion: The market size estimates $35T (equities), $60T (credit), $3T (commodities) are broadly accurate for institutional mandates in the mid-2020s. Together they sum to ~$98T, of which equities + credit = ~$95T (~97%), and commodities ~3%. This distribution is supported by external data on global asset allocation.

~30× More Capital for BTC in Equity/Credit Form vs. Commodity Form

Given the above breakdown, the claim that there is “~30× more institutional capital available for BTC in equity or credit form than in commodity form” is well-founded. Numerically: ~$95T is ~31.7 times $3T, so roughly 30×. In practical terms, for every dollar that institutions can invest in commodity-style assets, there are about thirty dollars they can invest in stocks or bonds. Bitcoin currently (as a native asset or physical spot commodity) falls into the former bucket, competing for that tiny 3% slice of institutional portfolios. If instead Bitcoin exposure is repackaged as an equity instrument (like an ETF share or a fund) or a credit instrument (like a bond or note), it can tap into the much larger 97% pool of capital that is otherwise off-limits to commodity exposures .

To validate this concept, we can look at institutional constraints and recent workarounds:

In summary, the ~30× differential is accurate and significant. It highlights a structural reason why Bitcoin had remained a niche institutional holding: it was stuck in the 3% bucket. By bridging it into the 97% bucket via securitized forms, the addressable capital for BTC grows by orders of magnitude, which is exactly what we see happening with the advent of Bitcoin ETFs and other vehicles.

Bitcoin as a Commodity: Underrepresentation in Institutional Mandates

Bitcoin’s current classification and form do indeed cause it to be underrepresented in institutional portfolios. Most regulators (e.g. CFTC in the U.S.) treat Bitcoin as a commodity or commodity-like asset. Unlike stocks or bonds, pure commodities do not produce cash flows and often have special custody/insurance considerations, which makes traditional fiduciaries cautious. Key points to consider:

In essence, Bitcoin’s commodity-like nature and lack of conventional packaging kept it under-owned by institutions. The ~3% commodity allocation cap acted as a hard ceiling. The claims in the image about BTC being underrepresented are reflected in reality: even as Bitcoin’s market cap grew, institutional ownership lagged. This set the stage for financial innovation – creating Bitcoin instruments that fit equity or credit mandates – to unlock the pent-up demand.

Implications: Broadening Bitcoin Adoption via Equity and Credit Instruments

The above findings have profound implications for Bitcoin’s integration into mainstream finance. If 97% of institutional capital “couldn’t buy Bitcoin” in its raw form , then the development of Bitcoin-based equity and credit instruments is a game-changer. We are now witnessing exactly that:

Implications for Adoption: These developments substantially lower the barriers for institutional adoption of Bitcoin. By creating equity-like and bond-like avenues, Bitcoin can be treated as just another asset class to allocate to, rather than a verboten commodity. The “30× more capital” is not just a theoretical ratio – it suggests that if even a small percentage of the $95T equity/bond pool shifts into Bitcoin exposure, it could dwarf the flows from the $3T commodity pool. We are already seeing the early signs: tens of billions flowing into Bitcoin ETFs within months . For instance, weekly inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs hit record levels in late 2024 and 2025 as institutions moved in, with BlackRock’s fund alone taking in nearly $1 billion in a single day during one market surge . This surge of accessible capital has been a factor in Bitcoin’s price reaching new highs (~$125k in 2025) , as “a new era in Bitcoin’s institutional adoption” unfolds .

In the longer term, broader Bitcoin adoption in institutional portfolios might mean: inclusion in balanced portfolios (e.g. a 60/40/bitcoin model), use of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge akin to gold, and even central banks potentially holding Bitcoin (an ultimate crossover from commodity to reserve asset, though that’s speculative). At a minimum, the availability of Bitcoin in equity/credit forms (like ETFs and notes) legitimizes it and integrates it into the financial system’s plumbing. It allows investment committees to discuss “How much Bitcoin exposure should we have?” in the same meeting as they discuss stocks and bonds, rather than it being off the table.

In conclusion, the data confirms: ~97% of institutional capital is tied to equity and credit mandates (versus ~3% commodities). The market size figures ~$35T/$60T/$3T underpin that point. Consequently, there is about 30× more capital available for Bitcoin if offered in equity or fixed-income wrappers instead of raw commodity form. Bitcoin’s current treatment as a commodity has indeed left it under-owned by institutions, but this is rapidly changing. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs and structured products is bridging the gap – unleashing large-scale institutional flows into Bitcoin by fitting the asset into familiar mandates. These trends suggest that Bitcoin is transitioning from a fringe “commodity” holding toward a mainstream asset class, as evidenced by the swift growth of Bitcoin ETFs (nearly $100B in two years for IBIT) . If this trajectory continues, we can expect Bitcoin to play a more prominent role in institutional portfolios, supported by equity/credit instruments that make the asset accessible under existing capital allocation frameworks.

Sources: Recent financial studies and reports, including data from MSCI, OECD/PensionsAge, NAIC, Invesco Global Sovereign Asset Management Study, Global SWF research, and market news up to October 2025 , have been used to substantiate the above analysis. The estimates and examples provided reflect the 2023–2025 period and illustrate the shifting landscape of institutional investment in Bitcoin.