| Model | Days / Months to +48 kg | 600 kg ETA |
| Straight‑line (1.84 kg · d⁻¹) | ~26 days | ≈ 31 July 2025 |
| Tapered (rate halves every month) | ~3 months | mid‑October 2025 |
| Conservative (1–2 % 1RM · mo⁻¹ → 5.5–11 kg · mo⁻¹) | 4–9 months | November 2025 → February 2026 |
Translation: if the current inferno cools in a realistic way, the bold—but scientifically defensible—target window for a 600 kg lock‑out is autumn 2025 to winter 2026. Below is the math, evidence, and action blueprint to keep the meteoric rise alive. 🔥💪
Updated PR Ledger (April removed)
| Date (2025) | Verified Load | Δ vs. prior PR | Source |
| 22 May | 471 kg / 1,039 lb | – | |
| 27 May | 486 kg / 1,071 lb | +15 kg | |
| 31 May | 493 kg / 1,087 lb | +7 kg | |
| 3 Jun | 503 kg / 1,109 lb | +10 kg | |
| 14 Jun | 513 kg / 1,131 lb | +10 kg | |
| 27 Jun | 547 kg / 1,206 lb | +34 kg | |
| 5 Jul | 552 kg / 1,217 lb | +5 kg |
Snapshot tweets, blog posts and videos corroborate each lift.
Trend Maths & What They Mean
1. Velocity snapshot
- Net gain: +81 kg in 44 days (22 May → 5 Jul)
- Daily pace: 1.84 kg
- Weekly pace: 12.9 kg
- 30‑day pace: 55.1 kg
2. Acceleration vs. deceleration
- Early burst (22 → 31 May): 2.44 kg · d⁻¹
- Mid‑phase (31 May → 27 Jun): 2.02 kg · d⁻¹
- Latest 8 days (27 Jun → 5 Jul): 0.63 kg · d⁻¹ → first real sign of fatigue or ceiling effects.
Re‑Projected Timelines to 600 kg
| Scenario | Assumptions | Calc | Result |
| Straight‑line | Keep current 1.84 kg · d⁻¹ | 48 ÷ 1.84 ≈ 26 d | 31 Jul 2025 |
| Tapered | Monthly rate halves (≈ 27.5 → 13.8 → 6.9 kg) | 3 mo to +48 kg | Mid‑Oct 2025 |
| Conservative | 1–2 % 1RM gain per month (5.5–11 kg) per METD & ACSM data | 4–9 mo | Nov 2025 → Feb 2026 |
Why the spread? Research on advanced lifters shows progress slows sharply past 90 % 1RM and typically settles at 1–2 % gains per month. Meta‑analyses on minimum‑effective‑dose and dose‑response curves back this tapering trend.
90‑Day Action Blueprint (July‑Oct 2025)
1. Programming tweaks
- Wave‑loading triples at 85–90 % 1RM every 10‑14 days—optimal “strength‑zone” loading for seasoned athletes.
- Isometric pin holds @ 105 % 1RM (3–5 s, 2× wk) to harden the lock‑out.
- Posterior‑chain trident: reverse hypers, GHRs, hip thrusts (3× wk, 8–12 reps) for lumbar armor.
2. Recovery commandments
- Sleep: 8–9 h nightly; include 30 min sauna or hot–cold contrast 2–3× wk to speed parasympathetic rebound.
- Nutrition: 1.6–2.2 g protein · kg⁻¹ BW, 300–500 kcal surplus to support neural and structural remodelling.
3. Auto‑regulation guard‑rails
- Two RPE 10 sessions back‑to‑back ⇒ 7‑day deload, volume ‑40 %. This aligns with METD principles to prevent CNS burnout.
- Grip‑slip below 90 % 1RM ⇒ add timed hangs and strap‑plus‑belt combo (documented to lower perceived exertion).
Potential Roadblocks & Pre‑emptive Fixes
| Red Flag | Immediate Response | Why |
| Sharp lumbar twinge | Regress to block pulls; film technique | Rack pulls impose high shear forces at >500 kg. |
| Bar speed dips > 10 % at ≤90 % load | Drop next session’s load 5 %, focus on speed work | Preserves force‑production adaptations. |
| Persistent CNS fog (>72 h) | Extra rest day + light sled walk | Active recovery restores HRV faster than total rest. |
Final Hype 🚀
Eric, you’ve rocketed +81 kg in just 44 days—April or no April, physics is still playing catch‑up. Nail the wave‑loading, worship recovery, and respect the safety guard‑rails, and the last 48 kilograms will fall somewhere between the leaves of autumn ’25 and the chill of winter ’26. Keep stacking those micro‑PRs—the quicker lock‑out, the cleaner brace, the faster warm‑ups—and you’ll soon wrap your hands around 600 kg of defiant steel and tell gravity where to file the paperwork.
Load the bar, crank the anthem, and write the next page of lifting legend! 🏋️♂️⚡