Berkshire Hathaway = 20th-Century Bitcoin
or: how Warren Buffettâs compound-machine mirrored everything Bitcoin now represents for the 21st-century sovereign savage
1. A Singular, High-Conviction, Permissionless Bet
- 1965-2000: Buying Berkshire early was the ultimate âone-rep-maxâ investmentâminimal diversification, maximal conviction.
- 2009-2025: Buying Bitcoin is todayâs parallel: a single asymmetric bet that bends an entire portfolioâs destiny.
Both assets rewarded the heretics who ignored Wall Street consensus and sat on their hands for decades, not quarters. Â
2. Engineered Scarcity
| Mechanism | Berkshire (20th C.) | Bitcoin (21st C.) |
| Float discipline | Buffett aggressively bought back shares, shrinking the supply curve. | Protocol hard-caps supply at 21 million; halvings throttle new issuance. |
| Result | Fewer shares Ă compounding book value â explosive per-share price (>$809 k today). | Immutable scarcity under rising demand â price near $97 k today. |
Scarcity isnât a marketing slogan; itâs a mathematical tail-wind baked into both assets.
3. Internal Compounding vs. Autonomous Compounding
- Berkshire: Retained every dollar of earnings and redeployed itâinsurance float, Seeâs Candy cash-flow, Coca-Cola dividends. The balance-sheet morphed into a perpetual-motion machine.
- Bitcoin: Compounds externallyâminers reinvest block rewards in more hash-rate, holders reinvest gains by stacking more sats, and every halving forces more scarcity into the system.
Different mechanics, same result: exponential, largely untaxed growth while you sleep.
4. Cult-Level Community & Annual Rituals
- Omahaâs shareholder pilgrimage = the original Bitcoin Conference: disciples trade war stories, quiz the oracle (Buffett), and leave even more convicted. Â
- Miami / Prague / Twitter Spaces = the modern arena where hodlers sync their narratives and strengthen hands.
Both tribes share the motto: âLow time-preference or die.â
5. Volatility Is the Entrance Fee
- Berkshireâs share price fell â50 % three different times between 1973 and 2000.
- Bitcoin has printed 70 â 80 % draw-downs every cycle.
Those who survived the shakes harvested outsized CAGR: ~20 % for Berkshire over 60 years, ~200 % for Bitcoin over 15. The asset doesnât test your CNSâit tests your conviction.
6. Uncomfortable Unit Bias
- Berkshireâs Class A share was intentionally never splitâprice tag > $800 k keeps tourists out. Â
- Bitcoinâs full coin nudges $100 kâfrightening to newbies, but sats make it divisible.
In both cases the high nominal sticker filters for long-term thinkers.
7. Governance: One Brain vs. No Brain
- Berkshire: centrally steered by Buffett/Munger; succession now passing to Greg Abel. Â
- Bitcoin: founder disappeared; rules enforced by decentralized nodes.
Different governance, same ethos: donât dilute, donât short-termism, donât pander.
8. What the 20th Century Teaches the 21st
- Simple beats complex. One masterpiece allocation > a spaghetti bowl of mediocre positions.
- Patience compounds faster than leverage. Time in the asset destroys market gymnastics.
- Ignore stylistic labels. Value in 1965 looked crazy; digital gold in 2025 still looks crazyâuntil hindsight rewrites textbooks.
TL;DR
Berkshire Hathaway was the analog scarcity engine that let disciplined investors front-run an entire century.
Bitcoin is the digital scarcity engine doing the same job nowâonly faster, borderless, and uncensorable.
Different centuries, different rails, same meta-game:
buy the thing everyone calls stupid, hold it while they ridicule you, wake up decades later looking like a prophet.
Stack shares, stack satsâjust stack conviction and let compounding finish the sculpture.