Product name & tickers
- STR3 — Strategy 3× MSTR Daily ETP
- STR4 — Strategy 4× MSTR Daily ETP
(If you want closer to your MSTU/MSTX family, alternates: MST3, MST4.)
One-page term sheet (investor-facing)
- Objective: Seek daily investment results, before fees/expenses, of +3× (STR3) or +4× (STR4) the daily total return of MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR).
- Underlying: MSTR Class A common stock (total return; dividends reinvested—MSTR currently pays none).
- Leverage reset: Daily, at close. Intraday guardrails (see below).
- Structure options:
- ETF (’40 Act) using total-return equity swaps; list on NYSE Arca/Cboe BZX (US) — practical for 3×, 4× is more feasible in ETN or EU/UK/CH ETP.
- ETN (’33 Act senior unsecured note)—clean economic replication, adds issuer credit risk; 3× or 4× possible.
- EU/UK/CH ETP (UCITS-style/ETP wrapper) listed on LSE/Xetra/SIX; 3×/4× commonly accepted in those markets.
- Creation unit: 25,000 shares (customizable). Creations/redemptions: primarily cash; optional in-kind MSTR for AP hedging efficiency.
- Fees: Management fee 0.95% (target), + embedded financing (SOFR + dealer spread) via swaps; all-in TER target 1.25–1.75%.
- Indicative value (iNAV): Published every 15 seconds during market hours.
- Custody/admin: State Street/BNY (custody), U.S. Bank/State Street (fund admin), Jane Street/Virtu (lead market maker).
- Risk controls: Intraday rebalance bands; trading halts mirrored; acceleration if NAV breaches thresholds.
- Tax: US ETF—1099 (RIC intent), ETN—ordinary income/contingent payment note treatment. (Final structuring via counsel.)
How the exposure is built (engineering)
Target daily exposure: E_t = L \times \text{Fund NAV}_t where L ∈ {3, 4}.
Replicated via total-return equity swaps on MSTR with multiple dealers. Fund holds T-bills/cash as collateral and variation margin.
Daily close rebalance:
- At ~3:45–3:58pm ET, calc true NAV and realized MSTR TR for the day.
- Size swap notional to L × NAV for next day’s open.
- Leave buffer cash (0.5–1.0% NAV) for margin calls & ops.
Intraday drift bands (risk):
- If realized leverage drifts outside [L−0.5, L+0.5] (e.g., STR4 <3.5× or >4.5×) due to sharp MSTR moves, trigger intraday micro-rebalance windows (max 2/day) to pull exposure back toward target while minimizing transaction costs.
Dealer diversification:
- Split notional across 3–5 ISDA counterparties (e.g., GS, JPM, MS, BofA, Citi).
- CSA with daily variation margin, initial margin posted as T-bills; target >102% collateralization on received side.
Financing & costs (embedded):
- Swaps priced at SOFR + spread (50–125 bps) + borrow/stock loan if needed (MSTR can be hard-to-borrow at times).
- Publication of “cost of carry” transparency weekly.
Precise return math (what investors actually get)
Daily compounding matters.
- If MSTR daily return is r_d, the ETP’s pre-fee daily return ≈ L \cdot r_d.
- Over N days: \text{NAV}_N = \text{NAV}0 \prod{d=1}^{N} (1 + L \cdot r_d – f_d) where f_d captures mgmt + financing + tracking.
Path dependency illustration (volatility decay):
Two days: +10%, then −10% for MSTR → net ≈ −1%.
STR4: (1+0.40)×(1−0.40) = 0.84 → −16%.
(Read: big up/down chops can erode levered NAV even if the stock ends near flat.)
Risk framework (clear & adult)
- Single-name concentration: MSTR is volatile and gap-prone (Bitcoin sensitivity + corporate treasury BTC exposure).
- Leverage reset risk: Daily compounding may underperform L × multi-day return in choppy tapes.
- Gap/limit risk: If MSTR gaps down >25–35% intraday, STR4 can approach wipeout levels; protection via intraday rebalance, circuit-breaker halts, NAV floor/acceleration.
- Counterparty risk (ETF route): Mitigated by multi-dealer swaps, over-collateralization, tri-party custody.
- Issuer credit risk (ETN route): Eliminated fund counterparty exposure but adds issuer credit risk.
- Borrow/stock-loan scarcity: Could widen swap spreads; disclose and cap capacity if needed.
- Liquidity: Lead Market Maker contracts to quote tight spreads; AP network sized for heavy creation flows on high-vol days.
Guardrails & extraordinary events
- Trading halts: Mirror MSTR’s exchange halts; iNAV dissemination pauses.
- Daily loss caps (soft): If intra-day NAV drawdown reaches −85% (STR4) / −70% (STR3), pause creations and consider defensive rebalance to prevent zero-NAV outcome.
- Acceleration triggers: If closing NAV < $1.00 or event of default at swap/issuer level, declare acceleration; pay out residual NAV in 2–5 business days.
- Capacity & concentration limits: Cap fund AUM/swap notional to a fraction of MSTR ADV and free float to avoid market impact.
Compliance & listing pathways
US ETF (preferred for 3×):
- ’40 Act leveraged single-stock ETFs exist; 3× feasible case-by-case with SEC engagement. Build with swaps; list on NYSE Arca/Cboe BZX. Prospectus: daily reset, single-name risk, VaR compliance.
US ETN (for 4×): - ’33 Act shelf; bank issuer; can deliver 4× with daily reset; simpler exposure; add issuer credit risk disclosure.
EU/UK/CH ETP (for 3×/4×): - Physically or synthetically collateralized ETP under Irish PLC/Jersey/SV SP; list LSE/Xetra/SIX; market norms allow 3×/4× on single names with proper KIDs and PRIIPs compliance.
NAV & disclosure plumbing
- NAV calc time: 4:00pm ET official close; publish by 4:30pm ET.
- iNAV: 15-sec frequency from open to close.
- Holdings file: Daily—cash, T-bills, swap counterparties, notionals, leverage ratio, cost of carry.
- Capacity file: Indicate remaining swap capacity daily to manage flows.
- Stress tests: Publish −30/−40/−50% MSTR day impacts on STR3/STR4 NAV.
Sample fee stack (transparent)
- Mgmt fee: 0.95%
- Swap financing: SOFR + 0.80% midpoint (variable)
- Ops/admin/audit: 0.10–0.20%
Target TER: 1.50% ± 25 bps (ex-market impact).
Creation/redemption mechanics (AP playbook)
- Creation unit: 25,000 shares; cash primary.
- Cut-off: 3:00pm ET for T+1 primary settlement.
- Basket disclosure: Publish “cash basket” value per CU; in-kind alternate allows AP to deliver MSTR + cash to tighten hedging.
- Settlement: DTC/Euroclear (as applicable); custodied T-bills at State Street/BNY.
Hedging at the dealer (real-world feasibility)
- Dealers internalize with delta-one desks: borrow/long MSTR + listed options overlays to manage gap risk.
- Hard-to-borrow surcharges modeled; any borrow spikes pass through to swap rate (and disclosed in daily carry).
Marketing compliance (what we can say)
- Emphasize daily objective (not long-term 3×/4× compounding).
- Prominently warn on volatility decay, gap risk, single-name concentration.
- Show scenario tables, not just charts.
- Provide use cases: short-term tactical trading, hedged overlays—not buy-and-forget.
Deliverables you can ship immediately
- Draft prospectus/KID text blocks (summary, risk, fee, objective).
- Index/rebalance methodology document (the “calculation agent” bible).
- Operations runbook (AP, LMM, custodian, admin, cut-offs, file formats, iNAV spec).
- Stress-scenario appendix (+/− 10/20/30/40/50% MSTR day).
- Regulatory pathway memo (ETF vs ETN vs EU ETP, pros/cons).
- Go-to-market plan (LMM mandate, seed capital, roadshow deck).
Executive summary (for your deck)
STR3 / STR4 delivers a pure, daily-reset levered bet on MicroStrategy—the most Bitcoin-convex equity on the planet—wrapped in an exchange-traded vehicle with institutional plumbing, multi-dealer redundancy, live iNAV, and hard guardrails. It’s built for tactical capital, engineered with derivative discipline, and disclosed with brutal honesty about path dependency and gap risk. High-octane, high-integrity, high-transparency. Let’s go. 🚀
If you want, I’ll draft the prospectus summary, calculation methodology (exact formulas & triggers), and a 1-page risk graphic next—plus a naming/branding pass to match MSTU/MSTX aesthetics.