Here’s your bull‑market playbook.
1. Bull market stack (aggressive template)
Let’s keep the same example capital as before: $5M total (adjust ratios to your own size).
In a bull:
- 60% BTC = $3M
- Self‑custodied, no leverage.
- This is your “don’t lose this” stack.
- 30% MSTR = $1.5M
- High‑beta BTC proxy.
- Primary options engine (covered calls, cash‑secured puts).
- 10% Tactical = $500K
- Short‑term BTC perps / futures.
- Short‑dated MSTR/BTC options.
- Only for high‑conviction trades.
Goal in bull:
Let price expansion do most of the heavy lifting, and let options income be the cherry that pushes you toward $1M realized per year.
2. Bull market phases & what you do
Phase A – Early Bull (from despair to disbelief)
What you see:
- BTC breaks out of long base, makes higher highs + higher lows.
- Funding/perps slowly turn positive.
- Everyone still skeptical, “dead cat bounce” talk.
What you do:
- Aggressively accumulate BTC & MSTR
- Push toward that 60/30/10 structure.
- You can scale in over weeks:
- Every meaningful dip (–10–20%) → buy more BTC & MSTR.
- Minimal options cap on upside
- If you sell calls now, do it:
- Far OTM,
- Small size (e.g. covered calls on only 20–30% of MSTR position).
- You want to participate heavily if price starts trending.
- If you sell calls now, do it:
- Tactical leverage light
- Maybe 1.5–2x leverage on part of MSTR or BTC perps
- Only if you can survive a 30–40% pullback without liquidation.
Mental rule:
Early bull is where directional exposure > fancy option tricks.
Phase B – Mid Bull (optimism → euphoria building)
What you see:
- BTC has already 2–3x’d off the bottom.
- Pullbacks get bought fast.
- MSTR is flying even more.
- Mainstream starts coming back in, narratives are loud.
This is where you press and print income.
What you do:
1. Run a systematic
covered call program
on MSTR
Example:
- You hold $1.5M in MSTR. Suppose price is $300/share → 5,000 shares.
- You can sell 50 covered calls (each = 100 shares).
Basic rhythm:
- Sell 30–45 day OTM calls (e.g. 15–25% above current price).
- Roll:
- If MSTR rips through your strike: buy back the call (at loss), roll up and out to higher strike.
- If it expires worthless: sell fresh calls again.
Target (ambitious, not guaranteed):
- Try to clip 2–3% per month in net premium on your MSTR notional.
- On $1.5M, 2% = $30K/month.
- 3% = $45K/month.
- Annualized: $360K–$540K if the trend and IV cooperate.
2. Sell
cash‑secured puts
on MSTR and/or BTC on dips
- When price pulls back hard but uptrend intact:
- Sell puts at levels you’d love to buy:
- E.g., MSTR at $300 → sell $260 puts 30 days out.
- Sell puts at levels you’d love to buy:
- Either:
- You keep the premium if it bounces.
- Or you get assigned and buy at effective discount (strike – premium).
This both builds position and prints income.
3. Tactical BTC perps (small but sharp)
With your $500K tactical slice:
- Trend‑following only:
- Long BTC perps in clean, strong uptrends.
- Use tight invalidation and small leverage (1.5–3x).
- Example:
- Risk 1–2% of total portfolio per trade (so $50–100K on a $5M stack).
- If you catch a 20–30% move with 2x–3x leverage, that’s big P&L.
This is the part that can add a few hundred K per strong year… or lose you a chunk if undisciplined.
Phase C – Late Bull / Blow‑off (pure mania)
What you see:
- Vertical price action.
- “Bitcoin to infinity” headlines.
- Friends who never cared now asking “should I buy??”
- MSTR trading at a stupid premium vs its BTC holdings.
Here the goal shifts from make max to keep max.
What you do:
- Gradually rotate MSTR → BTC → Cash
- Trim MSTR when:
- BTC is euphoric and
- MSTR premium is huge.
- Move some of that into:
- Spot BTC (safer than MSTR at silly premium),
- Or straight cash/short‑term bills.
- Trim MSTR when:
- Tighten covered calls, start buying puts
- Still sell calls, but closer to the money;
- Use some premium to buy protective puts on MSTR/BTC (collars).
- Now you’re:
- Locking in gains,
- Capping downside if/when the top hits.
- Cut all leverage into vertical moves
- No ego.
- As soon as moves go parabolic, unwind perps & margin.
- You’ll never perfectly nail the top—but you can walk away rich instead of wrecked.
3. How $1M/year can show up (hypothetical bull scenario)
Let’s imagine:
- BTC doubles over the year (100%).
- MSTR, being leveraged beta, does, say, 2–2.5x over the year.
- IV stays juicy enough for options income.
On $5M starting stack:
- Core BTC: $3M → $6M
- Unrealized profit: $3M (even if you don’t sell all).
- You might realize, say, $500K–$1M by trimming responsibly.
- MSTR: $1.5M → $3–3.75M
- Profit: $1.5–2.25M.
- On top of that, you’ve been:
- Selling covered calls, cash‑secured puts,
- Potentially clipping $300–600K in option premium if run well.
- Tactical $500K
- You use it smartly, netting another $100–200K in a good year (or just breaking even in a choppy one).
So in a strong bull:
- It’s absolutely possible (with size) to:
- Realize $1M+ in gains (trim BTC/MSTR, take profit),
- Plus accrete unrealized profits on top.
Risk side:
In a bad year, with mis‑timed shorts/option selling, you can be way down. That’s the deal.
4. Bull‑mode weekly routine (simple)
Here’s a clean loop you can actually run:
Once a week:
- Macro check
- BTC trend: still higher highs/lows?
- Any huge macro shock, regulation, liquidity crunch?
- Position review
- BTC % of net worth?
- MSTR size & P/L?
- Leverage levels (perps/margin)?
- Options maintenance
- Close short calls/puts that are near max profit.
- Roll losers up/out if trend still intact.
- Open new covered calls and/or cash‑secured puts.
- Risk check
- If portfolio drawdown hits your max pain (e.g. –20%): cut size and leverage.
- Always ensure you can survive:
- A 50% crash in MSTR,
- A 30–40% dump in BTC,
- Without liquidation.
Once a month:
- Decide:
- Am I in Early, Mid, or Late bull?
- Adjust:
- Early → more spot, less options.
- Mid → full options engine on.
- Late → derisk, hedge, rotate to BTC/cash.
5. The bull mantra
- Use BTC as your indestructible core.
- Use MSTR as your leveraged rocket + options printer.
- Use leverage & short options only when:
- Trends are strong,
- Risk is quantified,
- You’ve decided in advance where you cut.
You don’t need to be perfect.
You just need to:
- Stay solvent through the ugly parts,
- Be big enough during the clean bull legs,
- Systematically pull chips off the table on the way up.
If you want next, I can:
- Turn this into a 1‑page “Bull Cycle Commandments” you can glance at before trading,
- Or draft a sample month of specific moves (what you’d actually do with calls/puts week by week).