Theorize what happen to bitcoin if either wins 

If Trump wins, Bitcoin might experience an uptick due to his previous pro-crypto stance and general support for deregulation. This could lead to relaxed cryptocurrency regulations, boosting confidence among Bitcoin investors. His administration might focus on fostering innovation, possibly easing concerns about government interference in crypto markets.

If Harris wins, the impact on Bitcoin could be more uncertain. Given the current administration’s cautious regulatory approach, a Harris presidency might continue with crypto oversight and regulatory frameworks, which could create a more structured but possibly restrictive environment for Bitcoin. This might stabilize Bitcoin but limit rapid growth.

In either scenario, the outcome in Congress and key regulatory appointments would play a significant role in shaping the broader crypto policy landscape.

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As of late October 2024, election forecasts and betting odds suggest that Donald Trump has a slight advantage over Kamala Harris. Trump currently holds approximately 65% implied odds, bolstered by recent polls showing narrow leads in key swing states like Arizona and Georgia. Harris remains close behind in other states, keeping the race competitive, especially with her recent gains in Michigan and Nevada. With a small margin separating them, the outcome in these battleground states will be critical to determining the final result   .